Study: Climate Change, Extreme Weather Fueling More War

Study: 25% of Armed Conflict followed Extreme Weather Events

We often hear that ISIS and terrorism are far bigger threats to our security than Climate Change. A new study published by the National Academy of Sciences, a body created by President Lincoln to advise Congress on matters of science, accounting for a number of variables such as ethnic diversity, poverty, and more found that 25% of conflict followed a drought, flood or heat wave.

“We’ve been surprised by the extent that results for ethnic fractionalized countries stick out, compared to other country features such as conflict history, poverty, or inequality,” said Dr Jonathan Donges a Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research scientist and co-author of the new study.

“We think that ethnic divides may serve as a predetermined conflict line when additional stressors like natural disasters kick in, making multi-ethnic countries particularly vulnerable to the effect of such disasters,” he continued.

“It’s significant that you can make that statement—that nearly 25 percent of those conflicts coincided with some type of climate-related disaster.”

“What’s much more important is that this number is highly statistically significant and robust,” Donges said. “You cannot explain it by chance.”

Leave a Reply