Tag Archives: paris agreement

Is Putin Keeping Trump Out of Paris?

It seems the only obstacle stopping Trump from staying in Paris – is Russia.

By Nancy Skinner

As this article describes; it’s not Big Oil, Big Business, his own Secretary of State, Chief Economic Adviser, Secretary of Defense, the G-20 and the G-7, his “actual voters polled on it” or even his own daughter, who all support staying in Paris, yet he seems so stumped and has kicked the can several times now.

That leaves one powerful voice: yes, Russia.

The question is: Does he play Checkers or Chess?

By playing Checkers, I mean that he is still mad at how the NATO meeting went down, tweeting at Angela Merkel, mad at CNN for “all this Russia stuff”, mad at his staff for not communicating better, mad at crumbling poll numbers. This is when he usually trips up. This is when he retreats back into Breightbart mode, and listens to a small group of advisers, like Steve Bannon and Stephen Miller, to fire up his base. He could fight back by taking all his marbles, pulling out of Paris, and say something lame like he was “keeping a campaign pledge” (which is crapshoot from all the Pledges he made and reversed).

The problem there is that even his base has changed its views on climate change radically. According to a joint study by George Mason University and Yale’s Center for Climate Communication in the late November of 2016 entitled Trump Voters and Global Warming, had some startling key findings:

  • Nearly three in four Trump voters (73%) say that, the US should use more renewable energy (wind, solar, geothermal). One in three (33%) say we should use less fossil fuels in the future.
  • Almost half of Trump voters (47%) also say the US should participate in the international agreement to limit global warming. By contrast, only 28% think the US should not participate.
  • More than 6 in 10 voters (62%), support taxing and/or regulating the pollution that causes global warming, 3 in 10 (31%) support both approaches, and by contrast, only 2 in 10 (21%) support doing neither.

So these people, who voted for Donald Trump, do not want him to pull out of Paris. So what about the coal miner’s jobs? It’s no secret that market forces (mostly natural gas) have made coal obsolete as it’s cheaper and cleaner. On Thursday, even Trump’s Director of the US Economic Council, Gary Cohn, briefed reporters on Air Force One, about the reality of coal in a new cleaner energy economy, according to CNBC.

The president’s chief economic advisor is casting doubt on the future of U.S. coal, saying it “doesn’t really make that much sense anymore as a feedstock,” directly contradicting President Donald Trump’s repeated promises to revive the struggling coal industry.

Cohn singled out natural gas as “such a cleaner fuel.” By exporting more natural gas and investing in wind and solar energy, the U.S. “can be a manufacturing powerhouse and still be environmentally friendly,” Cohn said.

Ok so his own base doesn’t want him to withdraw. His top economic advisor doesn’t want him to withdraw. Big Businesses has made numerous pleas directly to Trump, to remain in the Paris Agreement, including Exxon and Chevron.

CNN’s Money piece, Big Business Wants Trump to Stick with Paris, includes an extensive list of companies from every sector who have reached out the President. Manufacturing giants like GM, Ford, Dow, BASF are also among the 195 Companies that signed the US Business Climate Pledge.

NBC News reported thirteen of America’s best-known companies — including Apple, Google, Microsoft, Walmart and Bank of America — have pledged $140 billion toward efforts to reduce carbon emissions.

Big business and small businesses alike have much to gain economically (or lose economically if we don’t act).

The World Economic Forum cited tremendous economic opportunity implementing Paris:

In the next 15 years alone, around $90 trillion will go into urbanisation. This gives us a tremendous business opportunity to build low-carbon, more resilient cities that can generate stronger growth and improve our quality of life. This means developing public, non-motorised and low-emission transport, and putting in place renewable energy and efficient waste management.”

And the CEO’s who attend the World Economic Forum issued a powerful Open Letter:

We are CEOs from 79 companies and 20 economic sectors. With operations in over 150 countries and territories, together we generated over $2.1 trillion of revenue in 2014.

In the spirit of the World Economic Forum to foster public-private cooperation, we affirm that the private sector has a responsibility to engage actively in global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and to help the world move to a low-carbon, climate-resilient economy.

We call upon governments to take bold action at the Paris climate conference (COP 21) in December 2015 to secure a more prosperous world for all of us. We are already taking action, and we stand ready to work together with the international community to help deliver practical climate solutions.

Up to $44 trillion could be going up in smoke if the world does not act on climate change, according to research from U.S. banking giant Citigroup.

They looked at two scenarios: if we act or if we do not act. The conclusion was clear: inaction would cost the world $44 trillion by 2060.

So it’s not Big Business, Wall Street, his Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, Defense Secretary General Mattis, Chief Economic Advisor, Gary Cohn, his own voters or even his own daughter who want him to withdraw from the 195 nation agreement, that would leave the US, alone with Nicaragua and Syria as the only two nations to sign the accord. Even North Korea signed the Paris Agreement.

His G-20 and G-7 Trips were filled with world leaders strongly making their case to stay part of this historic world agreement.

Yet, he’s undecided. Who could possibly be making the case for staying in Paris so perilous to him, that he keeps punting the ball. Can anyone say it, Russia?

A great piece by Climate Home outlines Russia’s tortured relationship with the Paris Agreement, and Putin has pushed back ratification until his re-election in 2018. (That will be a nail biter).

Donald Trump pushes the United States toward inaction on climate change, he is likely to find an ally in Russia.

Russia is the fifth-largest emitter of greenhouse gases in the world. Yet the plan it submitted under the Paris agreement to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 is one of the weakest of any government and actually permits Russia to increase carbon pollution over time. The Paris agreement went into effect last November, but Russia is the only major emitter that has not ratified it. Instead, it has laid out a timetable that would delay ratification for almost three years.

“Russia will not artificially accelerate the process of ratification of the Paris climate agreement,” Russia’s special presidential representative on climate, Alexander Bedritsky, said last September

Of course, oil and natural gas are the lifeblood of Russia’s economy. They have constructed an extraordinary Arctic base hoping to exploit the melting sea ice and allowing their rigs to move in on what is estimated to be an enormous amount of deep-sea oil.

The implications of methane release that results from such drilling would eviscerate the Climate.

So is he playing Chess actually, basically pissing off the world, knowing that his withdrawal would be perceived as his normal petulant, vindictive, and childish Donald Trump behavior?

If he is playing Chess, possibly fearing Putin’s next move, Donald Trump may have just check-mated the planet’s fate.

The Adam Smith Plan for Climate Finance

The Adam Smith Plan for Climate Finance: Because the Climate is Too Big to Fail!

This is PDF of my PowerPoint Presentation, and “a big bold plan” to rethink Climate Finance altogether: It’s a much larger fund ($6.7 Trillion Annually), it’s easier to administer, it’s run by Private Banks so no need for Presidential or Congressional obstruction, and the wealthiest in the world, who taxpayers bailed out in 2008, will be the only ones to pay it (and it’s so minuscule, they won’t even notice). The best part is that it will unleash investments worldwide in new industries and jobs and boost Global GDP and reduce income inequality that threatens economies and national security. The “Invisible Hand” that Adam Smith envisioned.

Thoughts welcome. Just register free to comment!

Nancy

 

Trump: “I’m Keeping an Open Mind on Climate”

A Ray of Hope?

This just in from Reuters:

“U.S. President-elect Donald Trump said on Tuesday he thinks there is some connection between climate change and human activity and “clean air is vitally important,” a New York Times reporter said in a tweet.

Trump, who met Times reporters and editors in New York, “says he is keeping ‘an open mind'” on the issue, the Times’ reporter wrote on Twitter.

Trump has previously called man-made global warming a hoax. “I think there is some connectivity” between humans and climate change, Trump said in the Times interview.”

This was reporters at the New York Times after Trump emerged from an on-again off-again on-again meeting with the Editorial Board.

I suspected that like many positions that have changed, Climate Change may be a big one.  I tweeted this out just a few hours ago.

He also has heard by now from world leaders that if the US is preparing to pull out of the Paris Agreement, other countries may impose a carbon tariff on US Exports. The world was at Defcon5 about a Trump’s Presidency for Climate Change at the recent COP22 Talk in Marrakesh Morocco.

I also find it hard to believe that Ivanka, as a mother of young children and whose husband Jared Kushner is playing a major role in the transition would appoint hardcore deniers to key offices.

Most conservative economists (including Reagans’s own Chief Economist, Arthur Laffer- of the Laffer Curve fame), believe that a Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax, which really means “Tax the oil companies, give 100% of revenues back to consumers and provide the private sector the incentive to create millions of clean energy jobs” is the best way forward.

Bob Inglis, @BobInglis – a Former Republican Congressmen from South Carolina, (and Climate Talk Radio Show Contributor) has been a champion of this plan while making it border-adjustable. That means, if the other countries didn’t have the same tax, we would collect it at the Ports, and would have to enact the same plan.

So maybe, just maybe, in the strangest of ways, Republicans will be the Climate Champions. Fine by me…just get it done.

 

Trump Would ‘Cancel’ Historic Paris Agreement

That’s How the BBC Reported  it and the Whole World is Mad!

The BBC News was all over the pledge by Trump to “cancel” the Paris Agreement of 2015 (which is that plan to save the planet that the whole world signed onto).

It took over twenty years in the making for the world to come together, and especially after a terror attack in Paris, to finally agree on a plan to address the greatest threat to humanity. Donald Trump said “It was bad for US Business”, according the BBC.

He happens to be dead wrong.  More than 175 Businesses have signed the American Businesses Climate PledgeAccording to The Financial Times, CEO’s like “Alex Gorsky, chief executive of Johnson & Johnson, said having a large number of companies join the pledge would have a “very significant impact” on pushing for a deal. “We’re excited that it does seem to be picking up momentum,” Mr Gorsky told the FT.

“The more large companies work together … it will create significant momentum around the world.”

That is, if it isn’t President Trump. Bad for Businesses, Mr. Trump? These Companies don’t agree.

21ST CENTURY FOX

365 RETAIL MARKETS

ACER AMERICA

ADOBE

AGILE SOURCING PARTNERS

AIRBNB

AKAMAI

ALL STAR SERVICES

AMAZON

AMD

AMERICAN HONDA MOTOR COMPANY

AVERY DENNISON

BEN & JERRY’S

BHPBILLITON

BIO-AMBER

BMW NA

BNY MELLON

BURNS & MCDONNELL

CANTALOUPE SYSTEMS

CANTEEN & COMPASS GROUP

CH2M

CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.

CRAIG COMMUNICATIONS

DANFOSS

DUPONT

EDP RENEWABLES NORTH AMERICA

ENEL GREEN POWER NORTH AMERICA

EQUINIX

FRHAM

GAMESA

GENENTECH

GOURMET COFFEE SERVICE

GREENWOOD ENERGY

IHG

INTERFACE

INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES

JETBLUE

JM HUBER CORPORATION

KAISER PERMANENTE

KELLY SERVICES

KIMBALL ELECTRONICS

KOHL’S DEPARTMENT STORES

KPMG

LEGRAND NA

LENOVO

LINKEDIN

MESA ASSOCIATES

MGM RESORTS

MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL

NATIONAL GRID

NEWS CORP

NOVARTIS

NRG

ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES

PATHEON

PROLOGIS

RIO TINTO

RM2

ROYAL VENDING

SKYONIC

STAPLES

SWITCH COMMUNICATIONS

SYMANTEC

TESLA MOTORS

TRI-ALPHA ENERGY

UNDERGROUND CONSTRUCTION

UNITED TECHNOLOGIES

VALLEY ELECTRIC ASSOCIATION

VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS

VF CORPORATION

VOLVO GROUP NORTH AMERICA

THE WITTERN GROUP

XYLEM

The following companies have previously joined the American Business Act on Climate pledge:

ABENGOA BIOENERGY US

AEMETIS

ALCOA

AMERICAN EXPRESS

APPLE

AT&T

AUTODESK

BANK OF AMERICA

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ENERGY

BEST BUY

BIOGEN

BLOOMBERG

CA TECHNOLOGIES

CALPINE

CAMPOS BROTHERS FARMS

CARGILL

COCA-COLA

COX

DELL

DISNEY

DSM NORTH AMERICA

EMC CORPORATION

ENER-G RUDOX

ENERGY OPTIMIZERS

FACEBOOK

FULCRUM BIOENERGY

GE

GENERAL MILLS

GENERAL MOTORS

GOLDMAN SACHS

GOOGLE

HERSHEY’S

HP

IBERDROLA USA

IBM

IKEA USA

INGERSOLL RAND

INTEL

INTEX SOLUTIONS

INTREN

INVENERGY

JOHNSON & JOHNSON

JOHNSON CONTROLS

KELLOGGS

KEYSTONE ELECTRICAL MANUFACTURING

KINGSPAN INSULATED PANELS INC

LAKESHORE LEARNING

LAM RESEARCH

LEVI STRAUSS & CO.

L’OREAL USA

MARS

MCDONALDS

MICROSOFT

MONSANTO

NATIONAL LABEL

NESTLE USA

NIKE

NOVOZYMES

ONE3LED

PACIFIC ETHANOL

PEPSI

PG&E

POET

PORTLAND GENERAL ELECTRIC

PROCTOR & GAMBLE

PWC US

QUALCOMM

RICOH USA

SALESFORCE.COM

SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC

SIEMENS USA

SONY USA

STARBUCKS

SYNGENTA/QCCP

TARGET

TRIGLOBAL ENERGY

UNILEVER

UPS

WAL-MART

XEROX